Haiti operates as an individual-led side that balances possession with a reliance on key attacking figures. With Duckens Nazon contributing over a quarter of the team's scoring output, the attack often hinges on individual brilliance rather than collective system play. This mixed-tempo approach requires opponents to remain disciplined against sudden, player-driven transitions.

Playing identity · system ↔ individual × direct ↔ possession

Haiti is plotted from possession share and top-scorer concentration. PPDA and recent form are supporting context when present.

+Recent form8 · 3W 1D 4L

2026-06-24World Cup 2026AHAI 2-4 MARL

2026-06-20World Cup 2026AHAI 0-3 BRAL

2026-06-14World Cup 2026HHAI 0-1 SCOL

2025-11-19World Cup 2026 qualifying · CONCACAFHHAI 2-0 NCAW

2025-11-14World Cup 2026 qualifying · CONCACAFHHAI 1-0 CRCW

2025-10-14World Cup 2026 qualifying · CONCACAFAHAI 0-3 HONL

2025-10-10World Cup 2026 qualifying · CONCACAFAHAI 3-0 NCAW

2025-09-10World Cup 2026 qualifying · CONCACAFAHAI 3-3 CRCD

International friendly matches are excluded

N2 · Scoring

open play 92%

How they score

Haiti relies almost exclusively on open play to generate their scoring output. With 92% of their goals originating from open play, the team demonstrates a clear preference for building through active movement rather than set-piece situations. This reliance highlights the importance of their primary attacking threats in finding space during live action.

Goal source · share of play-type-classified goals

92%

Open play92%Corner4%Free kick4%

8% set piececorner + free kick

Effectiveness · conversion by source vs benchmark

Open play14%avg 20%-5 pts

23 goals from 163 shots.

Set piece2.6%avg 4.5%-2 pts

2 goals from 78 shots.

benchmark average higher than field by 3+ pts lower than field by 3+ pts

Goal-source shares use non-own-goal rows with source_class values; own goals are excluded.

+Top scorers · still a threat?100% intact

100% of listed scorer goals come from players still marked in the squad.

Duckens Nazon	in squad	7 · 27%
Frantzdy Pierrot	in squad	5 · 19%
Louicius Don Deedson	in squad	5 · 19%
Danley Jean Jacques	in squad	3 · 12%

N3 · Conceding

open play 95%

How they concede

Haiti is overwhelmingly susceptible to conceding through open play. With 95% of their classified goals coming from open play, opponents may find success by prioritizing fluid attacking transitions. Their defensive structure has proven resilient against set pieces, suggesting that tactical focus should remain on breaking down their shape during active phases of play.

Conceded goal source · share of play-type-classified goals

95.2%

Open play95.2%Counter4.8%

Effectiveness · conceded conversion by source vs benchmark

Open play14%avg 20%-5 pts

21 conceded from 149 shots faced.

Set piece0.0%avg 4.5%-4 pts

0 conceded from 65 shots faced.

benchmark average lower than field by 3+ pts higher than field by 3+ pts

Conceded source shares use non-own-goal rows with source_class values.

N4 · Big moments

falls short · -1.54 GD residual

Better than their rating?

Haiti currently trends below their Elo-based expectations with a -1.54 goal difference residual. While the team has shown flashes of overperformance against lower-ranked opponents, their high volatility and significant underperformance in key matches place them at the bottom of the field in this metric.

Over-performance DNA · beats-its-rating × reliability, the tournament field

HAITournament field · 48solid line = rating-neutral · dashed = field-median reliability100 Elo ~= -0.37 goals

+Biggest over- & under-performances19 matches

Residual = actual goal difference minus what the Elo gap predicted.

vs ARU · 2025-06-07	GD +5 vs exp +3.61	+1.39
vs NCA · 2025-10-10	GD +3 vs exp +1.91	+1.09
vs CRC · 2025-11-14	GD +1 vs exp +0.84	+0.16
vs CUW · 2025-06-10	GD -4 vs exp +2.01	-6.01
vs HON · 2025-10-14	GD -3 vs exp +1.18	-4.18
vs BRA · 2026-06-19	GD -3 vs exp -0.37	-2.63