Group C
BRA

Brazil

Coach: Carlo Ancelotti
Group rank
1
Points
7
Played
3
Goal diff.
6
Status
Qualified from group
Fixtures
By date
Fixtures / results
Sat, Jun 13
BrazilvsMorocco
FT 1-1
Group C
Sat, Jun 20
BrazilvsHaiti
FT 3-0
Group C
Wed, Jun 24
ScotlandvsBrazil
FT 0-3
Group C
Mon, Jun 29
BrazilvsJapan
FT 2-1
Round of 32
Sun, Jul 5
BrazilvsNorway
FT 1-2
Round of 16
Countries
Groups overview
Group C
1BRAQ
PL 32-1-0GF 7-1GD 6PTS 7
2MARQ
PL 32-1-0GF 6-3GD 3PTS 7
3SCOOut
PL 31-0-2GF 1-4GD -3PTS 3
4HAIOut
PL 30-0-3GF 2-8GD -6PTS 0
#TeamPLWDL+/-GDPTSStatus
1Brazil32107-167Qualified
2Morocco32106-337Qualified
3Scotland31021-4-33Out
4Haiti30032-8-60Out
Nation lens
Identity1 / 4
N1 · Identity
system-spread · possession-leaning

How they play

Brazil operates with a possession-leaning tactical identity characterized by high-intensity pressing. The team maintains a balanced scoring distribution across the squad, supported by a proactive approach that prioritizes control and high-frequency defensive pressure.

Playing identity · system ↔ individual × direct ↔ possession
SystemIndividualPossessionDirectSystem-builtpossessionStar-ledpossessionPress-and-transitionStar-ledcounter-attackersBRA

Brazil is plotted from possession share and top-scorer concentration. PPDA and recent form are supporting context when present.

+Recent form8 · 5W 1D 2L
2026-07-05World Cup 2026HBRA 1-2 NORL
2026-06-29World Cup 2026HBRA 2-1 JPNW
2026-06-24World Cup 2026ABRA 3-0 SCOW
2026-06-20World Cup 2026HBRA 3-0 HAIW
2026-06-13World Cup 2026HBRA 1-1 MARD
2025-09-09World Cup 2026 qualifying · CONMEBOLABRA 0-1 BOLL
2025-09-05World Cup 2026 qualifying · CONMEBOLHBRA 3-0 CHIW
2025-06-11World Cup 2026 qualifying · CONMEBOLHBRA 1-0 PARW
International friendly matches are excluded
N2 · Scoring
open play 83%

How they score

Brazil relies heavily on open play to generate their scoring output. With over 80% of their goals originating from open play, the team prioritizes fluid movement over set-piece reliance. Their ability to consistently create chances through active play remains the cornerstone of their attacking identity.

Goal source · share of play-type-classified goals
82.5%
Open play82.5%Counter5%Corner5%Free kick7.5%
13% set piececorner + free kick
Effectiveness · conversion by source vs benchmark
Open play18%avg 20%-1 pts
35 goals from 193 shots.
Set piece6.9%avg 4.5%+2 pts
5 goals from 72 shots.
benchmark average higher than field by 3+ pts lower than field by 3+ pts
Goal-source shares use non-own-goal rows with source_class values; own goals are excluded.
+Top scorers · still a threat?60% intact

60% of listed scorer goals come from players still marked in the squad.

Raphinhain squad5 · 10%
Neymar da Silva Santos Juniorin squad4 · 8%
Richarlison de Andradeout3 · 6%
Rodrygoout3 · 6%
N3 · Conceding
open play 87%

How they concede

Brazil's defensive vulnerabilities are heavily concentrated in open play. With 87% of conceded goals originating from active play, opponents may find success by prioritizing quick transitions and sustained pressure. While set-piece threats remain statistically lower, the team's reliance on open-field defensive structure leaves them susceptible to high-tempo attacking sequences.

Conceded goal source · share of play-type-classified goals
87%
Open play87%Corner4.3%Free kick8.7%
13% set piece concededcorner + free kick
Effectiveness · conceded conversion by source vs benchmark
Open play14%avg 20%-6 pts
20 conceded from 144 shots faced.
Set piece5.3%avg 4.5%+1 pts
3 conceded from 57 shots faced.
benchmark average lower than field by 3+ pts higher than field by 3+ pts
Conceded source shares use non-own-goal rows with source_class values.
N4 · Big moments
beats ranking · +0.50 GD residual

Better than their rating?

Brazil consistently outperforms their Elo-based expectations by a margin of 0.50 goals per match. Their performance profile shows higher reliability than the field median, suggesting a tactical identity that frequently exceeds standard rating projections. While volatility exists, the team demonstrates a clear capacity to secure results beyond what their current world ranking implies.

Over-performance DNA · beats-its-rating × reliability, the tournament field
Beats rating -><- Falls shortVolatile ^Reliable vHigh-ceilingwildcardVolatileunderachieverReliablyoverdeliversReliablybelow par-1.7-0.90+0.9+1.70.81.41.92.5Beats its Elo rating by (goals/match) ->ESPNORHAICODBRA
BRATournament field · 48solid line = rating-neutral · dashed = field-median reliability100 Elo ~= -0.37 goals
+Biggest over- & under-performances37 matches
Residual = actual goal difference minus what the Elo gap predicted.
vs PER · 2024-10-16GD +4 vs exp +0.50+3.50
vs BOL · 2023-09-09GD +4 vs exp +0.97+3.03
vs KOR · 2022-12-05GD +3 vs exp +0.33+2.67
vs ARG · 2025-03-26GD -3 vs exp -0.85-2.15
vs CMR · 2022-12-02GD -1 vs exp +1.00-2.00
vs URU · 2023-10-18GD -2 vs exp -0.10-1.90