Group G

EGY

Egypt

Coach: Hossam Hassan

Group rank

Points

Played

Goal diff.

Status

Qualified from group

Fixtures

By date

Fixtures / results

Mon, Jun 15

Mon, Jun 22

Sat, Jun 27

Fri, Jul 3

Tue, Jul 7

Countries

Groups overview

Group G

1BELQ

PL 31-2-0GF 6-2GD 4PTS 5

2EGYQ

PL 31-2-0GF 5-3GD 2PTS 5

3IRNOut

PL 30-3-0GF 3-3GD 0PTS 3

4NZLOut

PL 30-1-2GF 4-10GD -6PTS 1

#	Team	PL	W	D	L	+/-	GD	PTS	Status
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6-2	4	5	Qualified
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5-3	2	5	Qualified
3	Iran	3	0	3	0	3-3	0	3	Out
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4-10	-6	1	Out

Nation lens

Identity1 / 4

N1 · Identity

individual-led · mixed-tempo

How they play

Egypt operates as an individual-led side that balances possession with a heavy reliance on Mohamed Salah's creative output. With Salah contributing 42% of their non-own-goal scoring, the team's tactical identity centers on maximizing his influence within a mixed-tempo structure. This dependency suggests opponents may find success by prioritizing defensive containment of their primary playmaker.

Playing identity · system ↔ individual × direct ↔ possession

Egypt is plotted from possession share and top-scorer concentration. PPDA and recent form are supporting context when present.

+Recent form8 · 3W 2D 3L

2026-07-07World Cup 2026AEGY 2-3 ARGL

2026-07-03Fifa World Cup 2026AEGY 5-3 AUSW

2026-07-03World Cup 2026AEGY 1-1 PEN 4-2 AUSW

2026-06-27World Cup 2026HEGY 1-1 IRND

2026-06-22World Cup 2026AEGY 3-1 NZLW

2026-06-15World Cup 2026AEGY 1-1 BELD

2026-01-17Africa Cup of Nations 2025HEGY 2-4 NGAL

2026-01-14Africa Cup of Nations 2025AEGY 0-1 SENL

International friendly matches are excluded

N2 · Scoring

open play 97%

How they score

Egypt relies almost exclusively on open play to generate their scoring output. With a conversion rate significantly above the field average, their attack thrives on fluid movement rather than set-piece situations. Mohamed Salah remains the primary focal point for this high-efficiency approach.

Goal source · share of play-type-classified goals

96.8%

Open play96.8%Counter3.2%

Effectiveness · conversion by source vs benchmark

Open play29%avg 20%+9 pts

31 goals from 108 shots.

Set piece0.0%avg 4.5%-4 pts

0 goals from 33 shots.

benchmark average higher than field by 3+ pts lower than field by 3+ pts

Goal-source shares use non-own-goal rows with source_class values; own goals are excluded.

+Top scorers · still a threat?84% intact

84% of listed scorer goals come from players still marked in the squad.

Mohamed Salah	in squad	16 · 42%
Mahmoud Trézéguet	in squad	6 · 16%
Mostafa Mohamed	out	5 · 13%
Omar Marmoush	in squad	4 · 11%

N3 · Conceding

open play 88%

How they concede

Egypt is highly susceptible to conceding through open play, which accounts for 88% of their classified goals allowed. Opponents may find success by prioritizing fluid attacking transitions, as the defensive structure has shown vulnerability to conversion rates slightly above the field average in open play scenarios.

Conceded goal source · share of play-type-classified goals

88.2%

Open play88.2%Free kick11.8%

12% set piece concededcorner + free kick

Effectiveness · conceded conversion by source vs benchmark

Open play20%avg 20%+0 pts

15 conceded from 75 shots faced.

Set piece5.7%avg 4.5%+1 pts

2 conceded from 35 shots faced.

benchmark average lower than field by 3+ pts higher than field by 3+ pts

Conceded source shares use non-own-goal rows with source_class values.

N4 · Big moments

falls short · -0.71 GD residual

Better than their rating?

Egypt consistently underperforms against their Elo-based expectations. With a residual of -0.71, the team struggles to convert their rating into goal-difference outcomes. Their performance profile shows higher reliability than the field median, yet they frequently fall short of the statistical baseline in competitive fixtures.

Over-performance DNA · beats-its-rating × reliability, the tournament field

EGYTournament field · 48solid line = rating-neutral · dashed = field-median reliability100 Elo ~= -0.37 goals

+Biggest over- & under-performances29 matches

Residual = actual goal difference minus what the Elo gap predicted.

vs DJI · 2023-11-16	GD +6 vs exp +3.77	+2.23
vs AUS · 2026-07-03	GD +2 vs exp +0.29	+1.71
vs NZL · 2026-06-21	GD +2 vs exp +1.11	+0.89
vs NGA · 2026-01-17	GD -2 vs exp +0.77	-2.77
vs RUS · 2018-06-19	GD -2 vs exp +0.67	-2.67
vs COD · 2024-01-28	GD -1 vs exp +1.41	-2.41