

Lineup
The head-to-head story
Iran enters this matchup with a marginal Elo advantage over Egypt in a contest defined by tactical fine margins. The outcome will likely hinge on midfield control and individual duels, with Egypt looking to isolate Salah on the flank while Iran aims to leverage their physical presence on set pieces.
+-Recent meetings1 matches
What kind of game?
Iran enters the match with a slight edge in possession and attacking output. While the two sides show similar defensive resistance, Iran's higher ball control and xG profile suggest they may dictate the tempo. Egypt remains a threat through set-piece opportunities, which could prove decisive in a tightly contested game.
| Axis | EGY | IRN |
|---|---|---|
| Possession | 50.0% | 55.2% |
| Defending | 5.0 resistance | 5.5 resistance |
| Set pieces | 22.4% | 21.0% |
| Threat | 1.27 xG/match | 1.31 xG/match |
Where it'll be decided
The central channel is the primary tactical focal point for both sides. With over 70% of attacking and defensive activity concentrated through the middle, the match will likely be won or lost in the congested central corridor. Egypt and Iran both show a heavy reliance on this lane, making midfield control the decisive factor.