Curacao maintains a balanced tactical identity with a measured approach to possession. The team relies on a distributed attacking structure, with Gervane Kastaneer contributing 17% of their non-own-goal scoring output. This mixed-tempo style allows them to remain competitive against varied opposition.

Playing identity · system ↔ individual × direct ↔ possession

Curacao is plotted from possession share and top-scorer concentration. PPDA and recent form are supporting context when present.

+Recent form8 · 3W 3D 2L

2026-06-25World Cup 2026HCUW 0-2 CIVL

2026-06-21World Cup 2026ACUW 0-0 ECUD

2026-06-14World Cup 2026ACUW 1-7 GERL

2025-11-19World Cup 2026 qualifying · CONCACAFACUW 0-0 JAMD

2025-11-14World Cup 2026 qualifying · CONCACAFACUW 7-0 BERW

2025-10-14World Cup 2026 qualifying · CAF / World Cup 2026 qualifying · CONCACAFHCUW 1-1 TRID

2025-10-10World Cup 2026 qualifying · CAF / World Cup 2026 qualifying · CONCACAFHCUW 2-0 JAMW

2025-09-10World Cup 2026 qualifying · CONCACAFHCUW 3-2 BERW

International friendly matches are excluded

N2 · Scoring

open play 96%

How they score

Curacao relies almost exclusively on open play to generate their scoring output. With 96% of their classified goals originating from open play, the team demonstrates a clear preference for building attacks through active movement rather than set-piece situations. This reliance is supported by a consistent conversion rate that mirrors the field average.

Goal source · share of play-type-classified goals

96.3%

Open play96.3%Corner3.7%

4% set piececorner + free kick

Effectiveness · conversion by source vs benchmark

Open play19%avg 20%-1 pts

26 goals from 138 shots.

Set piece2.1%avg 4.5%-2 pts

1 goals from 48 shots.

benchmark average higher than field by 3+ pts lower than field by 3+ pts

Goal-source shares use non-own-goal rows with source_class values; own goals are excluded.

+Top scorers · still a threat?79% intact

79% of listed scorer goals come from players still marked in the squad.

Gervane Kastaneer	in squad	5 · 17%
Juninho Bacuna	in squad	3 · 10%
Kenji Gorré	in squad	3 · 10%
Rangelo Janga	out	3 · 10%

N3 · Conceding

open play 100%

How they concede

Curacao concedes exclusively through open play sequences. With all eight classified goals originating from open play, opponents may find success by prioritizing fluid transitions and quick movement to bypass their defensive structure. Their resilience against set pieces suggests a disciplined organization that forces attackers to earn their chances through active build-up play.

Conceded goal source · share of play-type-classified goals

100%

Open play100%

Effectiveness · conceded conversion by source vs benchmark

Open play9.6%avg 20%-10 pts

8 conceded from 83 shots faced.

Set piece0.0%avg 4.5%-4 pts

0 conceded from 47 shots faced.

benchmark average lower than field by 3+ pts higher than field by 3+ pts

Conceded source shares use non-own-goal rows with source_class values.

N4 · Big moments

falls short · -0.92 GD residual

Better than their rating?

Curacao consistently falls short of their Elo-based performance expectations. With a -0.92 goal difference residual, the team exhibits higher volatility than the field median. Their results suggest a struggle to maintain consistency against the baseline, despite occasional high-scoring outliers.

Over-performance DNA · beats-its-rating × reliability, the tournament field

CUWTournament field · 48solid line = rating-neutral · dashed = field-median reliability100 Elo ~= -0.37 goals

+Biggest over- & under-performances17 matches

Residual = actual goal difference minus what the Elo gap predicted.

vs BER · 2025-11-14	GD +7 vs exp +2.72	+4.28
vs HAI · 2025-06-10	GD +4 vs exp +1.26	+2.74
vs JAM · 2025-10-10	GD +2 vs exp +1.12	+0.88
vs GER · 2026-06-14	GD -6 vs exp -0.20	-5.80
vs SKN · 2023-06-17	GD -1 vs exp +2.60	-3.60
vs CIV · 2026-06-25	GD -2 vs exp +0.55	-2.55