Group B
CAN

Canada

Coach: Jesse Marsch
Group rank
2
Points
4
Played
3
Goal diff.
5
Status
Qualified from group
Fixtures
By date
Fixtures / results
Fri, Jun 12
CanadavsBosnia and Herzegovina
FT 1-1
Group B
Thu, Jun 18
CanadavsQatar
FT 6-0
Group B
Wed, Jun 24
SwitzerlandvsCanada
FT 2-1
Group B
Sun, Jun 28
South AfricavsCanada
FT 0-1
Round of 32
Sat, Jul 4
CanadavsMorocco
FT 0-3
Round of 16
Countries
Groups overview
Group B
1SUIQ
PL 32-1-0GF 7-3GD 4PTS 7
2CANQ
PL 31-1-1GF 8-3GD 5PTS 4
3BIHQ
PL 31-1-1GF 5-6GD -1PTS 4
4QATOut
PL 30-1-2GF 2-10GD -8PTS 1
#TeamPLWDL+/-GDPTSStatus
1Switzerland32107-347Qualified
2Canada31118-354Qualified
3Bosnia and Herzegovina31115-6-14Qualified
4Qatar30122-10-81Out
Nation lens
Identity1 / 4
N1 · Identity
balanced · mixed-tempo

How they play

Canada operates with a balanced, high-intensity tactical identity. By combining controlled possession with an aggressive 8.3 PPDA pressing scheme, they maintain a versatile rhythm. This structure relies on Jonathan David to provide the clinical edge in the final third.

Playing identity · system ↔ individual × direct ↔ possession
SystemIndividualPossessionDirectSystem-builtpossessionStar-ledpossessionPress-and-transitionStar-ledcounter-attackersCAN

Canada is plotted from possession share and top-scorer concentration. PPDA and recent form are supporting context when present.

+Recent form8 · 3W 2D 3L
2026-07-04World Cup 2026HCAN 0-3 MARL
2026-06-28World Cup 2026ACAN 1-0 RSAW
2026-06-24World Cup 2026ACAN 1-2 SUIL
2026-06-18World Cup 2026HCAN 6-0 QATW
2026-06-12World Cup 2026HCAN 1-1 BIHD
2025-06-29Gold Cup 2025HCAN 6-7 GUAxG 1.4-1.2L
2025-06-25Gold Cup 2025HCAN 2-0 SLVxG 1.3-0.4W
2025-06-21Gold Cup 2025ACAN 1-1 CUWxG 1.1-0.8D
International friendly matches are excluded
N2 · Scoring
open play 91%

How they score

Canada relies heavily on open play to generate their scoring output. With over 90% of their goals originating from open play, the team prioritizes fluid movement over set-piece reliance. This tactical preference is anchored by key contributors like Jonathan David, who remains central to their attacking efficiency.

Goal source · share of play-type-classified goals
90.5%
Open play90.5%Corner4.8%Free kick4.8%
10% set piececorner + free kick
Effectiveness · conversion by source vs benchmark
Open play17%avg 20%-3 pts
19 goals from 114 shots.
Set piece5.0%avg 4.5%+1 pts
2 goals from 40 shots.
benchmark average higher than field by 3+ pts lower than field by 3+ pts
Goal-source shares use non-own-goal rows with source_class values; own goals are excluded.
+Top scorers · still a threat?100% intact

100% of listed scorer goals come from players still marked in the squad.

Jonathan Davidin squad7 · 23%
Tajon Buchananin squad3 · 10%
Alphonso Daviesin squad2 · 6%
Ismael Konéin squad2 · 6%
N3 · Conceding
open play 78%

How they concede

Canada is most vulnerable to goals originating from open play. With nearly 78% of their conceded goals arriving through open-play sequences, opponents may find success by prioritizing quick transitions and sustained pressure in the final third. Their defensive structure shows a clear susceptibility to being broken down during active play rather than through set-piece scenarios.

Conceded goal source · share of play-type-classified goals
77.8%
Open play77.8%Counter5.6%Corner11.1%Free kick5.6%
17% set piece concededcorner + free kick
Effectiveness · conceded conversion by source vs benchmark
Open play15%avg 20%-4 pts
15 conceded from 97 shots faced.
Set piece5.5%avg 4.5%+1 pts
3 conceded from 55 shots faced.
benchmark average lower than field by 3+ pts higher than field by 3+ pts
Conceded source shares use non-own-goal rows with source_class values.
N4 · Big moments
falls short · -0.51 GD residual

Better than their rating?

Canada currently trends below their Elo-based expectations with a -0.51 goal difference residual. While the team has demonstrated high-ceiling performances against lower-ranked opponents, their overall output remains more volatile than the field median. This suggests a tendency to underperform against higher-caliber opposition compared to what their baseline rating predicts.

Over-performance DNA · beats-its-rating × reliability, the tournament field
Beats rating -><- Falls shortVolatile ^Reliable vHigh-ceilingwildcardVolatileunderachieverReliablyoverdeliversReliablybelow par-1.7-0.90+0.9+1.70.81.41.92.5Beats its Elo rating by (goals/match) ->ESPNORHAICODCAN
CANTournament field · 48solid line = rating-neutral · dashed = field-median reliability100 Elo ~= -0.37 goals
+Biggest over- & under-performances23 matches
Residual = actual goal difference minus what the Elo gap predicted.
vs HON · 2025-06-18GD +6 vs exp +1.18+4.82
vs QAT · 2026-06-18GD +6 vs exp +1.60+4.40
vs PER · 2024-06-26GD +1 vs exp +0.50+0.50
vs CRO · 2022-11-27GD -3 vs exp +0.07-3.07
vs MAR · 2026-07-04GD -3 vs exp -0.14-2.86
vs GLP · 2023-06-27GD 0 vs exp +2.45-2.45