

Lineup
The head-to-head story
Germany enters this matchup with a superior Elo rating and stronger recent form compared to Paraguay. While Germany holds the historical edge, Paraguay carries significant momentum from their dramatic penalty shootout victory over the Germans in the 2026 Round of 32. This encounter serves as a high-stakes rematch between two sides with proven tournament pedigree.
+-Recent meetings2 matches
What kind of game?
Germany enters the match with a significant advantage in offensive threat and possession control. While Paraguay leans heavily on set-piece opportunities to generate danger, Germany's superior xG profile suggests they are well-positioned to dictate the tempo and force the play.
| Axis | GER | PAR |
|---|---|---|
| Possession | 66.5% | 35.6% |
| Defending | 5.8 resistance | 5.0 resistance |
| Set pieces | 31.1% | 40.0% |
| Threat | 1.98 xG/match | 0.38 xG/match |
Where it'll be decided
The central corridor remains the primary tactical focal point for both sides. Germany and Paraguay concentrate the vast majority of their attacking play through the middle, where defensive leaks are most frequent. Expect the game to be dictated by which side can better secure the central channel against these recurring vulnerabilities.
Who to watch
Germany and Paraguay both rely on system-driven approaches to dictate match flow. Germany aims to control the tempo through high possession and sustained box pressure, while Paraguay looks to capitalize on set-piece opportunities and repeat touches in the final third.