Tunisia maintains a balanced tactical identity characterized by a mixed-tempo approach. With a possession share of 54.7% and moderate pressing intensity, the team relies on a distributed scoring effort rather than individual dependency. This structure suggests a methodical build-up that prioritizes collective play over high-risk transitions.

Playing identity · system ↔ individual × direct ↔ possession

Tunisia is plotted from possession share and top-scorer concentration. PPDA and recent form are supporting context when present.

+Recent form8 · 2W 1D 5L

2026-06-25World Cup 2026HTUN 1-3 NEDL

2026-06-21World Cup 2026HTUN 0-4 JPNL

2026-06-15World Cup 2026ATUN 1-5 SWEL

2026-01-03Africa Cup of Nations 2025ATUN 3-4 MLIL

2025-12-30Africa Cup of Nations 2025ATUN 1-1 TAND

2025-12-27Africa Cup of Nations 2025ATUN 2-3 NGAL

2025-12-23Africa Cup of Nations 2025HTUN 3-1 UGAW

2025-10-13World Cup 2026 qualifying · CAFHTUN 3-0 NAMW

International friendly matches are excluded

N2 · Scoring

open play 93%

How they score

Tunisia relies heavily on open play to generate their scoring output. With 93% of their goals originating from open play, the team demonstrates a clinical edge in these situations, converting at a rate significantly higher than the field average.

Goal source · share of play-type-classified goals

92.9%

Open play92.9%Free kick7.1%

7% set piececorner + free kick

Effectiveness · conversion by source vs benchmark

Open play36%avg 20%+16 pts

26 goals from 73 shots.

Set piece4.8%avg 4.5%+0 pts

2 goals from 42 shots.

benchmark average higher than field by 3+ pts lower than field by 3+ pts

Goal-source shares use non-own-goal rows with source_class values; own goals are excluded.

+Top scorers · still a threat?46% intact

46% of listed scorer goals come from players still marked in the squad.

Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane	out	4 · 11%
Elias Achouri	in squad	3 · 8%
Elias Saad	in squad	3 · 8%
Ferjani Sassi	out	3 · 8%

N3 · Conceding

open play 79%

How they concede

Tunisia is most vulnerable to goals originating from open play. With nearly 79% of their conceded goals occurring in open play, opponents may find success by prioritizing fluid attacking movements. While their set-piece defense remains relatively stable, maintaining defensive shape during active transitions is critical to limiting their exposure.

Conceded goal source · share of play-type-classified goals

78.6%

14.3%

Open play78.6%Counter7.1%Corner14.3%

14% set piece concededcorner + free kick

Effectiveness · conceded conversion by source vs benchmark

Open play17%avg 20%-3 pts

12 conceded from 72 shots faced.

Set piece6.5%avg 4.5%+2 pts

2 conceded from 31 shots faced.

benchmark average lower than field by 3+ pts higher than field by 3+ pts

Conceded source shares use non-own-goal rows with source_class values.

N4 · Big moments

falls short · -0.91 GD residual

Better than their rating?

Tunisia consistently underperforms against their Elo-based expectations. With a -0.91 goal difference residual, the team struggles to bridge the gap against higher-rated opponents. Their performance profile shows significant volatility, suggesting an inability to maintain consistency when facing tactical challenges.

Over-performance DNA · beats-its-rating × reliability, the tournament field

TUNTournament field · 48solid line = rating-neutral · dashed = field-median reliability100 Elo ~= -0.37 goals

+Biggest over- & under-performances26 matches

Residual = actual goal difference minus what the Elo gap predicted.

vs STP · 2025-10-10	GD +6 vs exp +3.08	+2.92
vs FRA · 2022-11-30	GD +1 vs exp -0.88	+1.88
vs STP · 2023-11-17	GD +4 vs exp +3.00	+1.00
vs SWE · 2026-06-14	GD -4 vs exp +0.61	-4.61
vs JPN · 2026-06-20	GD -4 vs exp -0.12	-3.88
vs NAM · 2024-01-16	GD -1 vs exp +1.85	-2.85