Group A
MEX

Mexico

Coach: Javier Aguirre
Group rank
1
Points
9
Played
3
Goal diff.
6
Status
Qualified from group
Fixtures
By date
Fixtures / results
Thu, Jun 11
MexicovsSouth Africa
FT 2-0
Group A
Fri, Jun 19
MexicovsSouth Korea
FT 1-0
Group A
Thu, Jun 25
Czech RepublicvsMexico
FT 0-3
Group A
Wed, Jul 1
MexicovsEcuador
FT 2-0
Round of 32
Mon, Jul 6
MexicovsEngland
FT 2-3
Round of 16
Countries
Groups overview
Group A
1MEXQ
PL 33-0-0GF 6-0GD 6PTS 9
2RSAQ
PL 31-1-1GF 2-3GD -1PTS 4
3KOROut
PL 31-0-2GF 2-3GD -1PTS 3
4CZEOut
PL 30-1-2GF 2-6GD -4PTS 1
#TeamPLWDL+/-GDPTSStatus
1Mexico33006-069Qualified
2South Africa31112-3-14Qualified
3South Korea31022-3-13Out
4Czech Republic30122-6-41Out
Nation lens
Identity1 / 4
N1 · Identity
system-spread · mixed-tempo

How they play

Mexico operates with a possession-heavy, system-spread tactical identity. With a high 60.1% possession share and aggressive pressing metrics, they rely on a distributed scoring approach rather than individual reliance. This balanced structure allows them to maintain control and dictate the tempo against a variety of opponents.

Playing identity · system ↔ individual × direct ↔ possession
SystemIndividualPossessionDirectSystem-builtpossessionStar-ledpossessionPress-and-transitionStar-ledcounter-attackersMEX

Mexico is plotted from possession share and top-scorer concentration. PPDA and recent form are supporting context when present.

+Recent form8 · 7W 0D 1L
2026-07-06World Cup 2026HMEX 2-3 ENGL
2026-07-01World Cup 2026HMEX 2-0 ECUW
2026-06-25World Cup 2026AMEX 3-0 CZEW
2026-06-19World Cup 2026HMEX 1-0 KORW
2026-06-11World Cup 2026HMEX 2-0 RSAW
2025-07-06Gold Cup 2025AMEX 2-1 USAxG 1.3-1.1W
2025-07-03Gold Cup 2025HMEX 1-0 HONxG 1.4-0.1W
2025-06-29Gold Cup 2025HMEX 2-0 KSAxG 1.3-0.0W
International friendly matches are excluded
N2 · Scoring
open play 76%

How they score

Mexico relies heavily on open play to generate their scoring output. With 76% of their goals originating from open play, the team prioritizes sustained possession over set-piece reliance. While their conversion rate in open play remains below the field average, their high volume of shots keeps them consistently threatening.

Goal source · share of play-type-classified goals
76%
16%
Open play76%Counter4%Corner16%Free kick4%
20% set piececorner + free kick
Effectiveness · conversion by source vs benchmark
Open play10%avg 20%-9 pts
20 goals from 198 shots.
Set piece7.1%avg 4.5%+3 pts
5 goals from 70 shots.
benchmark average higher than field by 3+ pts lower than field by 3+ pts
Goal-source shares use non-own-goal rows with source_class values; own goals are excluded.
+Top scorers · still a threat?80% intact

80% of listed scorer goals come from players still marked in the squad.

César Montesin squad3 · 11%
Raúl Jiménezin squad3 · 11%
Edson Álvarezin squad2 · 7%
Henry Martínout2 · 7%
N3 · Conceding
open play 75%

How they concede

Mexico is most vulnerable to goals originating from open play. With 75% of their classified concessions occurring in open play, opponents may find success by prioritizing fluid attacking transitions. While their overall defensive metrics remain disciplined, maintaining structure during active play is essential to limiting high-quality chances.

Conceded goal source · share of play-type-classified goals
75%
Open play75%Counter8.3%Corner8.3%Free kick8.3%
17% set piece concededcorner + free kick
Effectiveness · conceded conversion by source vs benchmark
Open play14%avg 20%-6 pts
10 conceded from 72 shots faced.
Set piece5.0%avg 4.5%+1 pts
2 conceded from 40 shots faced.
benchmark average lower than field by 3+ pts higher than field by 3+ pts
Conceded source shares use non-own-goal rows with source_class values.
N4 · Big moments
in line with ranking · +0.16 GD residual

Better than their rating?

Mexico performs consistently in line with their current Elo ranking. With a +0.16 goal difference residual, they demonstrate higher reliability than the field median. Their historical data suggests a stable tactical identity that largely meets expectations against varied opposition.

Over-performance DNA · beats-its-rating × reliability, the tournament field
Beats rating -><- Falls shortVolatile ^Reliable vHigh-ceilingwildcardVolatileunderachieverReliablyoverdeliversReliablybelow par-1.7-0.90+0.9+1.70.81.41.92.5Beats its Elo rating by (goals/match) ->ESPNORHAICODMEX
MEXTournament field · 48solid line = rating-neutral · dashed = field-median reliability100 Elo ~= -0.37 goals
+Biggest over- & under-performances27 matches
Residual = actual goal difference minus what the Elo gap predicted.
vs HON · 2023-06-26GD +4 vs exp +1.51+2.49
vs CZE · 2026-06-24GD +3 vs exp +0.67+2.33
vs ECU · 2026-06-30GD +2 vs exp -0.09+2.09
vs SWE · 2018-06-27GD -3 vs exp +0.20-3.20
vs QAT · 2023-07-03GD -1 vs exp +1.11-2.11
vs VEN · 2024-06-27GD -1 vs exp +0.45-1.45