Group K
COL

Colombia

Coach: Nestor Lorenzo
Group rank
1
Points
7
Played
3
Goal diff.
3
Status
Qualified from group
Countries
Groups overview
Group K
1COLQ
PL 32-1-0GF 4-1GD 3PTS 7
2PORQ
PL 31-2-0GF 6-1GD 5PTS 5
3CODQ
PL 31-1-1GF 4-3GD 1PTS 4
4UZBOut
PL 30-0-3GF 2-11GD -9PTS 0
#TeamPLWDL+/-GDPTSStatus
1Colombia32104-137Qualified
2Portugal31206-155Qualified
3DR Congo31114-314Qualified
4Uzbekistan30032-11-90Out
Nation lens
Identity1 / 4
N1 · Identity
balanced · mixed-tempo

How they play

Colombia maintains a balanced tactical identity defined by controlled possession and a high-intensity pressing structure. With Luis Díaz contributing 18% of the team's scoring output, they rely on a blend of individual brilliance and collective discipline to manage game tempo effectively.

Playing identity · system ↔ individual × direct ↔ possession
SystemIndividualPossessionDirectSystem-builtpossessionStar-ledpossessionPress-and-transitionStar-ledcounter-attackersCOL

Colombia is plotted from possession share and top-scorer concentration. PPDA and recent form are supporting context when present.

+Recent form8 · 5W 1D 2L
2026-07-07Fifa World Cup 2026ACOL 3-4 SUIL
2026-07-07World Cup 2026ACOL 0-0 PEN 3-4 SUIL
2026-07-04World Cup 2026HCOL 1-0 GHAW
2026-06-27World Cup 2026HCOL 0-0 PORD
2026-06-24World Cup 2026HCOL 1-0 CODW
2026-06-18World Cup 2026ACOL 3-1 UZBW
2025-09-09World Cup 2026 qualifying · CONMEBOLACOL 6-3 VENW
2025-09-04World Cup 2026 qualifying · CONMEBOLHCOL 3-0 BOLW
International friendly matches are excluded
N2 · Scoring
open play 65%

How they score

Colombia relies heavily on open play to generate the bulk of their attacking output. While open play accounts for nearly two-thirds of their goals, their set-piece efficiency stands out significantly above the field average, providing a potent secondary threat.

Goal source · share of play-type-classified goals
64.6%
25%
Open play64.6%Counter4.2%Corner25%Free kick6.3%
31% set piececorner + free kick
Effectiveness · conversion by source vs benchmark
Open play14%avg 20%-6 pts
33 goals from 237 shots.
Set piece17%avg 4.5%+13 pts
15 goals from 88 shots.
benchmark average higher than field by 3+ pts lower than field by 3+ pts
Goal-source shares use non-own-goal rows with source_class values; own goals are excluded.
+Top scorers · still a threat?100% intact

100% of listed scorer goals come from players still marked in the squad.

Luis Díazin squad9 · 15%
James Rodríguezin squad4 · 7%
Jhon Córdobain squad4 · 7%
Luis Javier Suárezin squad4 · 7%
N3 · Conceding
open play 85%

How they concede

Colombia is most vulnerable to goals originating from open play. With 85% of classified goals conceded in open play, opponents may find success by prioritizing quick transitions and sustained movement. This pattern suggests that maintaining defensive shape during active play is critical to limiting their exposure.

Conceded goal source · share of play-type-classified goals
85%
Open play85%Corner10%Free kick5%
15% set piece concededcorner + free kick
Effectiveness · conceded conversion by source vs benchmark
Open play9.4%avg 20%-10 pts
17 conceded from 181 shots faced.
Set piece3.9%avg 4.5%-1 pts
3 conceded from 77 shots faced.
benchmark average lower than field by 3+ pts higher than field by 3+ pts
Conceded source shares use non-own-goal rows with source_class values.
N4 · Big moments
beats ranking · +0.72 GD residual

Better than their rating?

Colombia consistently outperforms their Elo-based expectations with a positive goal difference residual of 0.72. Their performance profile indicates a higher level of reliability than the field median, suggesting they frequently punch above their current world ranking.

Over-performance DNA · beats-its-rating × reliability, the tournament field
Beats rating -><- Falls shortVolatile ^Reliable vHigh-ceilingwildcardVolatileunderachieverReliablyoverdeliversReliablybelow par-1.7-0.90+0.9+1.70.81.41.92.5Beats its Elo rating by (goals/match) ->ESPNORHAICODCOL
COLTournament field · 48solid line = rating-neutral · dashed = field-median reliability100 Elo ~= -0.37 goals
+Biggest over- & under-performances36 matches
Residual = actual goal difference minus what the Elo gap predicted.
vs PAN · 2024-07-07GD +5 vs exp +0.42+4.58
vs PAN · 2024-07-06GD +5 vs exp +0.42+4.58
vs CHI · 2024-10-15GD +4 vs exp +0.66+3.34
vs BOL · 2024-10-10GD -1 vs exp +0.99-1.99
vs JPN · 2018-06-19GD -1 vs exp +0.64-1.64
vs ECU · 2024-11-19GD -1 vs exp -0.02-0.98