Algeria operates as an individual-led side that balances possession with a reliance on key attacking contributors. With Mohamed Amoura responsible for 30% of their scoring output, the team's tactical identity hinges on individual brilliance to unlock defenses. This mixed-tempo approach allows them to control the ball, though they remain vulnerable when facing high-caliber opposition.

Playing identity · system ↔ individual × direct ↔ possession

Algeria is plotted from possession share and top-scorer concentration. PPDA and recent form are supporting context when present.

+Recent form8 · 4W 1D 3L

2026-07-03World Cup 2026AALG 0-2 SUIL

2026-06-28World Cup 2026HALG 3-3 AUTD

2026-06-23World Cup 2026AALG 2-1 JORW

2026-06-17World Cup 2026AALG 0-3 ARGL

2026-01-10Africa Cup of Nations 2025HALG 0-2 NGAL

2026-01-06Africa Cup of Nations 2025HALG 1-0 CODW

2025-12-31Africa Cup of Nations 2025AALG 3-1 EQGW

2025-12-28Africa Cup of Nations 2025HALG 1-0 BFAW

International friendly matches are excluded

N2 · Scoring

open play 100%

How they score

Algeria relies exclusively on open play to generate their scoring output. With a conversion rate significantly higher than the field average, their attacking rhythm is driven by fluid movement rather than set-piece reliance. Key contributors like Mohamed Amoura and Riyad Mahrez remain central to this high-efficiency approach.

Goal source · share of play-type-classified goals

100%

Open play100%

Effectiveness · conversion by source vs benchmark

Open play28%avg 20%+8 pts

30 goals from 108 shots.

Set piece0.0%avg 4.5%-4 pts

0 goals from 51 shots.

benchmark average higher than field by 3+ pts lower than field by 3+ pts

Goal-source shares use non-own-goal rows with source_class values; own goals are excluded.

+Top scorers · still a threat?73% intact

73% of listed scorer goals come from players still marked in the squad.

Mohamed Amoura	in squad	10 · 30%
Baghdad Bounedjah	out	6 · 18%
Riyad Mahrez	in squad	4 · 12%
Farès Chaïbi	in squad	2 · 6%

N3 · Conceding

open play 100%

How they concede

Algeria's defensive vulnerabilities are exclusively rooted in open play. With every classified goal conceded during active play, opponents may find success by prioritizing quick transitions and sustained pressure. The team remains disciplined against set-piece opportunities, effectively neutralizing dead-ball threats.

Conceded goal source · share of play-type-classified goals

100%

Open play100%

Effectiveness · conceded conversion by source vs benchmark

Open play20%avg 20%+0 pts

13 conceded from 66 shots faced.

Set piece0.0%avg 4.5%-4 pts

0 conceded from 37 shots faced.

benchmark average lower than field by 3+ pts higher than field by 3+ pts

Conceded source shares use non-own-goal rows with source_class values.

N4 · Big moments

falls short · -0.78 GD residual

Better than their rating?

Algeria consistently underperforms against their Elo-based expectations. With a residual of -0.78, the team struggles to convert their rating into goal-difference advantages. While their performance shows higher reliability than the field median, they frequently fail to meet the statistical threshold required to justify their current standing.

Over-performance DNA · beats-its-rating × reliability, the tournament field

ALGTournament field · 48solid line = rating-neutral · dashed = field-median reliability100 Elo ~= -0.37 goals

+Biggest over- & under-performances22 matches

Residual = actual goal difference minus what the Elo gap predicted.

vs MOZ · 2025-03-25	GD +4 vs exp +1.60	+2.40
vs SUD · 2025-12-24	GD +3 vs exp +1.81	+1.19
vs COD · 2026-01-06	GD +1 vs exp +0.82	+0.18
vs MTN · 2024-01-23	GD -1 vs exp +1.81	-2.81
vs NGA · 2026-01-10	GD -2 vs exp +0.77	-2.77
vs GUI · 2024-06-06	GD -1 vs exp +1.68	-2.68