

Lineup
The head-to-head story
England enters this matchup with a slight rating edge and superior recent form over Croatia. The outcome likely hinges on the midfield battle, where the ability to control possession in the final half-hour will be decisive. This clash pits the veteran experience of Luka Modrić against the high-intensity tactical setup led by Jude Bellingham.
+-Recent meetings5 matches
What kind of game?
England enters this match with a significant advantage in offensive threat generation. While Croatia maintains a more resilient defensive structure, England's superior expected goals profile suggests they may dictate the attacking tempo. The game is likely to hinge on whether Croatia's defensive resistance can contain England's high-possession approach.
| Axis | ENG | CRO |
|---|---|---|
| Possession | 72.5% | 63.6% |
| Defending | 4.1 resistance | 4.6 resistance |
| Set pieces | 28.1% | 25.2% |
| Threat | 1.76 xG/match | 1.06 xG/match |
Where it'll be decided
The match will likely hinge on England's ability to secure their left defensive flank. Croatia shows a tendency to exploit wide areas where England has proven vulnerable to channel pressure. Controlling this lane will be critical to neutralizing Croatia's attacking width.
Who to watch
England relies on individual star power while Croatia operates through a highly structured system. Croatia's ability to generate repeat box touches and high-volume shooting will be the primary tactical test for England's defense. Success for the English side may depend on containing these systemic threats without conceding too much space in dangerous areas.